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The personal log of Peter Payne, owner of JLIST.com, the home of "wacky things from Japan"

Monday, August 31, 2009

Japan Election: My View

The Japanese election is over, and as expected, the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) won a significant victory over the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) that ruled the country almost continuously since 1955. Japanese voters appear to have lost patience with the LDP and Prime Minister Aso, who managed to oversee a staggering 15% annualized drop in GDP during his tenure -- oops! There were several reasons for the DPJ's landslide. First, they had a more organized game plan, spelling out their promises to voters in their now-famous "Manifesto" (clearly modeled on the old Contract with America). Another factor was the poor relationship Prime Minister Aso had with the media, being openly combatative with them at times, which affected the coverage his party received, especially from certain news channels. And as has been pointed out on political talk shows here, another factor in the change of parties was what's known as migi ni narae, (migi ni nah-rah-eh), an old army command that literally means "copy the person on your right!" Translatable as "me, too-ism," the word describes the tendency for Japanese to suddenly decide to move as a group towards a certain goal when they perceive that others are headed that way, too. The DPJ has made certain specific promises to voters, including monthly payments of $280 per child to families with kids while ending deductions for spouses (to encourage women to get into the workforce), and making all the freeways free -- of course all without any discussion of how the revenue for these programs will be generated. It'll be interesting to see how it all plays out.

After a decisive election win, Japan's next Prime Minister will be Mr. Hatoyama.

8 Comments:

Blogger Rawrgasm | Lachy said...

This may be due to the fact that I don't watch much news and stuff, but this is the first time ive ever seen so many microphones taped together.

8:09 PM

 
Blogger Jonukas said...

Peter, I think you mean DPJ in your penultimate sentence above, not LDP.

8:53 PM

 
Blogger Peter in Japan said...

Har! Yes, I'll fix that. Thanks...

9:57 PM

 
Blogger PeterD said...

All the freeways free?!? One of the things I've liked about japan is how they have made a country where for long distance travel, you really don't need a car. I am sure that making cars expensive helped push people towards alternate transport (like trains), while at the same time funding trains. Be a shame to see policies changed so that more people move towards driving.

1:06 AM

 
Blogger Peter in Japan said...

Yes, everyone is either happy that their personal little pet thing will be funded, or worried about what will change. For me, I don't mind paying a little to drive on freeways -- if they're free, there will be traffic jams everywhere, which will suck. Also, the road tax/gas tax/freeway fee system seems to me to be the perfect way to fund roads, since if you don't have a car you pay nothing. Now they'll need to tax some other way, presumably, and people who go out of their way to not have a car will end up paying.

Also, the teachers' union is supposedly knit tight up with the DPJ, which (Yasu fears) will mean the return of "take it easy" education, since teachers (understandably) don't want to work 7 days a week, like they do now. Hence, he is worried he'll have to choose private schools for his three daughters, if the schools aren't up to snuff.

Another thing, the equivalent of Social Security has been sort of optional up til now, e.g. if you are on the "kokumin hoten" system you don't have to pay your pension, even though everyone is supposed to do it -- it's sort of optional. The new system will likely force an American style Social Security-as-taxes system, which, while probably a good idea for the country, will cost a lot to certain small to mid-sized companies, who are just barely hanging on right now.

We live in interesting times...

1:47 AM

 
Blogger mt-i said...

On the plus side, you'll see less of the victimization narrative of Japan's involvement in WW2 in history schoolbooks, and teachers won't get fired for not showing up to sing the Kimi ga yo in celebration of imperial Japan.

Seriously, it amazes me that the "Teachers' Unions and the DPJ are a bunch of commies" line of thought convinces anyone besides uyoku.

The most important "non-pork" aspect of the DPJ's progam, though, is probably the intention to put an end to the supremacy of non-elected bureaucrats in policy and to the long-standing climate of kickbacks and crony capitalism. It would take more than one term to achieve anything like that, but any progress in that direction is certainly welcome (by anyone not on the receiving end of said kickbacks anyway).

10:22 AM

 
Blogger Peter in Japan said...

mt-i, yes, we're all concerned about too much changing too fast. You hear politicians putting up floaters about how Japan's sales tax will eventually need to be 20-25% in order to pay for all the things that need paying for (i.e. too many old people). Which is ridiculous since Japan has an American system, not a European system, e.g. they don't try to provide every service to people and taxes are generally low accordingly. That would be a disaster, since even when they raised things from 3% to 5% people balked to the point where they stopped spending money, causing another mini-recession.

Still, if they can stop building a Panama Canal worth of wasted public projects every year, if they can stop Amakudari, they'll have my support. Although not like it matters who I support, being a gaijin and all ^_^

11:30 AM

 
Blogger GirishLaikhra said...

Japan election my view is a very nice article and news....
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girish
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2:33 PM

 

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